The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September has increased after the release of ADP and GDP data in the United States.

date
31/07/2025
According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 97.9%, with a 2.1% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 37.9%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut probability of 60.9% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut probability of 1.3%.