Goldman Sachs: Forward exchange rate of the US dollar against the New Taiwan dollar is significantly lower than the spot rate, making shorting the currency pair very costly.

date
04/06/2025
Goldman Sachs stated in the report that investors generally believe that the trend of the USD/TWD spot exchange rate should decline, but the forward exchange rate has a significant discount compared to the spot exchange rate, making the cost of shorting the USD/TWD very high. Goldman Sachs integrated recent discussions with emerging market funds, hedge funds, and other investors, indicating that the long-term accumulation of USD assets by Asian exporters may be the catalyst for the depreciation of the USD against Asian currencies, especially in Taiwan and Malaysia.