Excessive callbacks create entry opportunities. Bank of America raises Element Solutions (ESI.US) rating to "buy".

date
16/04/2025
avatar
GMT Eight
Bank of America Corp has upgraded its rating of the chemical company Element Solutions (ESI.US) from 'Neutral' to 'Buy', with a target price lowered from $29.00 to $24.00. Bank of America analyst Steve Burn highlighted that despite recent stock price declines and broader macroeconomic challenges, this specialty chemical company continues to maintain a strong profit situation and is venturing into high-growth markets. Burn emphasized that Element Solutions' global manufacturing layout - 55 local production bases near customers - helps alleviate the impact of new trade tariffs. This geographical flexibility allows the company to effectively adjust operations to address trade disruptions, avoiding many direct cost pressures faced by other materials and specialty chemical producers. Some indirect risks still exist, particularly for customers in the export product supply chain of printed circuit boards, Burn noted that recent US tariff exemptions for smartphones and computers have reduced near-term demand risks. These key consumer electronics products will be mainly affected by tariffs on China, but other regions may only face a small amount of additional tariffs. Therefore, the price stability of the electronics market seems more sustainable than originally feared. Burn also pointed out that Element Solutions, with its product specialization and non-discretionary nature, is able to effectively pass on cost inflation. He stated that even in a wider inflation environment, the company's low costs and key inputs allow it to maintain profit margins. Despite stable operations, Element Solutions' stock price has dropped 34% over the past two months, closing at $18.75 as of Tuesday's US market close. Bank of America Corp stated that this overreaction now provides an attractive entry point. Element Solutions' investments in structural expansion areas such as electric vehicles, data storage, and artificial intelligence computing have enabled it to stand out in the chemical industry and relatively withstand the impact of a potential economic downturn. The company recently divested its graphics solutions business in the first quarter, further concentrating its portfolio on electronic products, enhancing its growth prospects, and increasing its long-term valuation multiples. Bank of America Corp has lowered its target price to $24, citing industry-wide price-to-earnings ratios being compressed. The new target price is based on enterprise value valuation, at 13 times 2025 EBITDA, lower than the previous estimate of 14.6 times. Bank of America maintains its forecast for 2025 first-quarter EBITDA at $125 million, but has lowered the full-year expectation from $545 million to $521 million. This adjustment reflects expectations of slightly soft demand in the second half, especially in the industrial and specialty chemicals sectors with low single-digit declines, as well as some cost pressures from tariffs. It is expected that these challenges will be partially offset by favorable exchange rates and improvements in the Chinese electronic and automotive industries.

Contact: [email protected]