Central Plains Mortgage: May mortgage approval numbers continue to be soft. The number of new mortgage approvals in the first five months fell by 18.4% compared to the previous year, reaching a new low in nearly 10 years.

date
10/06/2026
According to the WiseFinancial APP, Wang Meifeng, the Director-General of Zhongyuan Mortgage, stated that according to the latest data released by Hong Kong mortgage brokers, the mortgage insurance figures for May 2026 continue to be soft. The number of new mortgage insurance applications in May fell by 2.8% to 1,073, while the amount of new mortgage insurance applications increased by 3.6% to 6.1 billion Hong Kong dollars compared to the previous month. During the same period, the number of new mortgage withdrawals decreased by 10.5% to 471, and the amount of new mortgage withdrawals also decreased by 10.9% to 2.5 billion Hong Kong dollars. The average amount of new mortgage loans taken was approximately 5.31 million Hong Kong dollars, a decrease of 0.4% compared to the previous month. Among these, 25% were for new properties and 75% were for second-hand properties.
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Mou Yiling, Chief Strategy Officer of GuoJin Securities, stated that in this current round of AI capital expenditure, the proportion of global GDP is rapidly rising, supported by real economic growth. A comparable situation can be found in the growth cycle stocks during China's urbanization construction period after joining the WTO from 2005 to 2007. Currently, funds are focusing on embracing AI hardware. Valuations show that there is still room for growth in the global Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. The valuations of growth stocks in A-shares have expanded faster than some US stocks, with some profit pricing approaching the most optimistic levels of the 2005-2007 cyclical stocks. However, valuations are not a reason for market tops, as the market does not yet have the foundation to switch. Despite the slowdown in global non-US growth under the pressure of AI narratives, A-shares are hitting new highs, but the proportion of rising individual stocks is continuously decreasing. Mou Yiling believes that the current market has entered a high volatility state similar to early 2007. In terms of allocation, it is recommended to focus on actively defensive stocks, with a focus on dividends (crude oil, coal, electricity, and city commercial banks), followed by attention to technology upstream (semiconductors/AI materials, equipment, and manufacturing); After the AI suppression fades, mid-term attention should be on industrial metals, general equipment, specialized equipment, and going global. (Securities Times)
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