The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 95.9%.

date
26/07/2025
According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in July is 95.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 4.1%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in September is 39.2%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 58.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 2.4%.