National Australia Bank: The US dollar may stay at high levels due to trade agreement bringing certainty.

date
16/07/2025
The National Australia Bank believes that with the trade agreement bringing certainty and relief to the market, the US dollar may remain at a high level. Rodrigo Catril, a strategist at the National Australia Bank in Sydney, said that for global growth, this agreement is not good news and may limit the upside potential of pro-cyclical currencies such as the Indonesian rupiah and the Australian dollar. "Overall, this agreement is more favorable to the United States. However, Indonesia has already avoided the worst-case scenario." "The view that the baseline tariff rate is 10% may be too conservative. The average tariff rate in various countries is closer to 20%, not 10%."