Commercial aerospace experts: 2026 will be the year of breakthrough for China's rocket launch capability. They believe that there will be a major breakthrough in the short term.

Chinese commercial aerospace has now reached a moment where answers must be given: how to break through the bottleneck of launch capacity? How to construct a future commercial closed-loop system? "Rockets, satellites, networking, and launch facilities are the four key links, among which rocket reusability and limited launch facilities are China's prominent weaknesses. However, 2026 is the year when China's rocket launch capacity is expected to break through. With strong research and development and manufacturing capabilities, China is believed to have major breakthroughs in the short term." A commercial aerospace expert said. Several interviewed experts predict that around 2028, China is expected to achieve normalized operation of medium-sized reusable rockets. Once relying on a complete industrial system and leveraging manufacturing cost advantages to achieve recycling and reuse, China will have the ability to redefine global launch service prices.