U.S. Treasury yields surge across the board, Feds first rate cut expectation delayed to September.

date
03/03/2026
The selloff of US Treasury bonds has caused yields to rise, as the US and Israel continue to escalate their conflict with Iran, disrupting the energy market and triggering a flight of safe-haven funds. Despite the strengthening of the US dollar, concerns about inflation driven by energy and the high costs of long-term conflict have dampened demand for US government bonds. Marc Chandler of Bannockburn states, "This is the result of a combination of position adjustments and the inflation impact of rising oil prices." He points out that investors are shifting their bets on a Fed rate cut from July to September. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond rose by 0.090 percentage points to 4.051%, while the yield on the 2-year US Treasury bond rose by 0.108 percentage points to 3.485%.