A-shares have a relatively high probability of a strong start after the National Day holiday. On the first day, the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector has the highest probability of rising.

date
07/10/2026
Historical data suggests a strong likelihood of a positive start after the National Day holiday. According to statistics from Securities TimesDataTreasure, since 2000, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen on the first trading day after the holiday 17 times, with a probability of 65.38%; the CSI 300 Index has risen 16 times on the first day after the holiday, with a probability of 66.67%; and the ChiNext Index has risen 10 times on the first day after the holiday, with a probability of 62.5%. Which sectors deserve close attention after the National Day holiday? DataTreasure's analysis of historical data found that since 2000, the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery industry has topped the gainers list most frequently on the first day after the holiday, ranking first among industries 5 times; followed by the computer, coal, and non-ferrous metals industries, each appearing on the list 3 times.