The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 65.2%.

date
14/08/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged until September is 65.2%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 34.8%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates unchanged until October is 50.1%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 41.8%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 8.1%.