Hua Chuang Securities: The constraint at the 1.7% level for 10-year bond yields may soften, and the confidence of bulls is expected to strengthen.

date
05/08/2026
The commentary sent by Huachuang Securities' Investment Trading Department stated that the downward break of bond market rates reflects a marginal opening of expectations for overall easing. After the July Purchasing Managers' Index showed that the improvement in fundamentals could not be sustained, going long has become a direction with less resistance in the bond market. The current attitude of the People's Bank of China may suggest that the 10-year government bond yield has slightly broken below 1.7%, which is still within the central bank's tolerance range. Before the central bank uses liquidity to impact the bond market, the constraint of the 10-year government bond yield at the 1.70% level may gradually soften, and long positions may continue to attempt to break lower. In contrast, ultra-long bonds still have room for narrowing spreads, and the rhythm requires attention to periodic profit-taking disturbances in trading.