Daiwa: Maintain "buy" rating for Minmetals Resources, the operating conditions of various mines will be more stable in the second half of the year.

date
22/07/2026
Morgan Stanley released a research report stating that the copper concentrate production of Las Bambas, a subsidiary of Minmetals Resources, in the second quarter of this year was 109,000 tons, in line with the annual production guidance of 380,000 to 400,000 tons. The production of Khoemacau mine in the first half of the year was 22,000 tons, accounting for approximately 42% to 46% of the annual guidance. Morgan Stanley expects that with the improvement in equipment utilization rate, the introduction of new mining equipment, and higher ore grades, production in the second half of the year is expected to increase. Morgan Stanley maintains a "hold" rating on Minmetals Resources with a target price of 11.7 Hong Kong dollars, believing that the operating conditions of various mines in the second half of the year will be relatively stable. The production of Las Bambas is expected to reach the upper limit of the annual guidance. Furthermore, concerns about social stability in Peru after the presidential elections have eased, and improvements in production and costs will continue to drive profit growth.
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Individual investors in South Korea are once again buying high-leverage contract for difference (CFD) in large quantities. Data from the Korea Financial Investment Association shows that as of July 21, the CFD position size in South Korea has increased to about 33 trillion won (approximately 22 billion US dollars), nearly two-thirds higher than a year ago. The data shows that SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics have become the most concentrated leveraged bets for individual investors in South Korea. Over the past year, SK Hynix's CFD position has surged by nearly 2500% to 235 billion won, while Samsung Electronics' CFD position has expanded to about 217 billion won, five times higher than before. CFDs allow investors to obtain full risk exposure to underlying assets with only about 40% margin, but investors do not actually hold the stocks. Analysts point out that when the market falls and triggers margin calls, banks may sell the underlying stocks they hold to hedge risks, thereby amplifying market volatility. Market concerns arise from the potential for CFD risks to combine with financing and securities lending, leveraged ETFs, and other products, leading to a chain reaction of forced liquidation during market corrections. The Korea Capital Market Institute indicated that if a large number of leveraged positions are concentrated in the same direction and investors are unable to replenish margin, forced liquidation could further exacerbate market volatility. In 2023, South Korea experienced a market crash due to the concentration of individual investors' CFD positions, leading to multiple stocks hitting the daily limit down and triggering regulatory measures. Analysts believe that as individual investors in South Korea increase high-leverage trading again, similar risks are once again coming under market scrutiny.
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