The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in June is 93.5%.

date
07/05/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in June is 93.5%, with a 6.5% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 86.5%, with a 13.0% probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut and a 0.5% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.