Traders are adding to their bets on US Treasury bonds continuing their steady trend, expecting narrow fluctuations in yields in the coming weeks.

date
22/04/2026
Although the United States and Iran have not been able to reach a peace agreement, traders are still increasing their bets that the volatility in the bond market will continue to decline. After a key indicator of U.S. Treasury bond volatility dropped to pre-war levels, traders continued to make large bets, betting that the market will remain stable for the next few weeks and will keep U.S. bond yields fluctuating within a narrow range. So far this month, the fluctuation range of the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield is only 16 basis points. The two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran is set to expire on Wednesday, and the agreement has helped lower oil prices from multi-year highs. The increasing popularity of shorting volatility strategies is also reflected in the rising demand for bearish positions in so-called straddle and strangle structures on U.S. 10-year Treasury bonds.