The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 98.4%.

date
07/04/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, with a probability of keeping rates unchanged at 98.4%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 4.1%, with a probability of keeping rates unchanged at 94.4%, and the probability of the Fed raising rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 1.5%.