The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.3%.

date
05/03/2026
According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 2.7%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 97.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points by April is 12.5%, with a 87.3% probability of keeping rates unchanged and a 0.3% probability of cutting rates by a total of 50 basis points. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by a total of 25 basis points by June is 32.1%.