The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 93.6%.

CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in March is 6.4%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 93.6%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 22.6%, with a 76.2% probability of keeping rates unchanged, and a 1.2% probability of a cumulative decrease of 50 basis points. The probability of a cumulative decrease of 25 basis points by June is 43.9%.