Central Plains (Commercial Shops): It is expected that prices of commercial shops in Hong Kong will fall by up to 10% in the first quarter of 2026.

According to the Zhitong Financial APP, Pan Zhiming, the General Manager of Zhongyuan (Commercial Property), expects that the trend of renovating student dormitories will continue, leading to a strong trading volume in commercial properties. In the first quarter of 2026, there were approximately 940 commercial property transactions with a total transaction value of about 12.6 billion Hong Kong dollars. Both transaction volume and value are expected to increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2025, with prices expected to stabilize or decrease by 10%. Rental performance is expected to remain stable, with an estimated 3,600 rental transactions in the first quarter of next year. However, rental prices are still expected to remain soft, stabilizing or decreasing by 15%, while transaction volume is expected to increase steadily.