Wall Street is divided over NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA.US): some see a "once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity," while others worry that Jensen Huang is "irreplaceable."

date
07:07 11/11/2026
avatar
GMT Eight
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA.US)'s forward P/E ratio has fallen below 10xa valuation typically seen only in companies facing structural decline, now appearing on a company widely regarded as the "core of the AI revolution."
NVIDIA Corporation's (NVDA.US) forward P/E ratio has fallen below 10xa valuation typically reserved for companies in structural decline, now appearing on a company widely regarded as the "core of the AI revolution." Wall Street is sharply divided over this anomaly: is it a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity, or a trap where leadership risk has not yet been fully priced in? The anchor of bearish concerns: why the valuation is "abnormally low" Mizuho Securities technology analyst Jordan Klein, in an interview with CNBC, offered the most blunt statement from the bullish camp: NVIDIA Corporation's stock price may currently be "silly cheap," constituting a highly attractive buying opportunity. His argument is a severe divergence between valuation and fundamentals. A forward P/E ratio below 10x means the market is paying less than 10x for the company's earnings over the next yearand such a depressed multiple is "usually reserved only for companies with structural damage or businesses in long-term decline. And we know NVIDIA Corporation is clearly not in that situation." In other words, the valuation de-rating is occurring against a backdrop of earnings still growing at high speed: the stock price decline has consistently lagged earnings growth, causing the P/E ratio to be passively compressed. In Klein's view, current pricing has already digested dual uncertaintiespost-election concerns about the AI industry's policy environment, and a series of questions surrounding Jensen Huang's leadership position. The former has already manifested this week: after a Democratic sweep in the midterm elections, the Nasdaq pulled back as much as 10% from its record high, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunged more than 10% in a single day, its worst performance since March 2020. The question is: are these headwinds temporary disturbances, or permanent repricing? Jensen Huang risk: why "irreplaceable" is more than rhetoric Klein acknowledges that Jensen Huang's potential departure is a major risk for the company, and offers three layers of reasoning for this judgment. First, at the industry level: "He is not only the visionary and leader of this company, but also the leading figure of the entire technology industry, and indeed the entire AI industry." NVIDIA Corporation's chip roadmap defines, to a considerable extent, the pace of global AI infrastructure buildout. The absence of a CEO means the anchor for the entire industry's expectations around computing power supply is pulled away. Second, at the investor structure level: in Klein's view, Jensen Huang is "irreplaceable" in investors' minds. For a company heavily held by passive funds and AI-themed funds, management symbolism itself is part of the valuationand the disappearance of this premium cannot be hedged through any succession plan. Third, at the execution level: Klein acknowledges that NVIDIA Corporation has a deep talent pool, but the unknown timeline of current events is the biggest concern for market participants. However long the uncertainty persists, the valuation discount may persistwhich is precisely why a "deep bench" cannot directly stock price support. The bullish camp: for the first time in a decade, tech stocks are cheaper than the S&P 500 Evercore ISI Senior Managing Director Julian Emanuel represents a different reading of the same set of facts. His firm has recently added NVIDIA Corporation to its list of AI stocks to buy next year, and believes that if leadership remains solid, the current weakness "could be a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity." The precondition for this judgment is worth notingEmanuel is not ignoring leadership risk, but providing a clear trigger condition: "if leadership remains solid." Emanuel's second argument is at the sector level: the technology sector as a whole (VGT)(XLK)(IYW) is trading below the S&P 500 Index for the first time in more than a decade. This means the market's selloff of tech stocks has evolved from "eliminating high-valuation speculative names" to "indiscriminately depressing the entire sector"which, in his view, is precisely the signal that value is re-emerging. The third argument concerns the resilience of the AI trend. While he acknowledges that NVIDIA Corporation is "one of the key companies in the AI revolutionif not the most critical one," he still believes that even if turmoil at this chip giant continues, the broader AI transformation will not veer significantly off track. This judgment echoes the view of Yorkville Ives analyst Dan Ives this week: even if 30% of data center construction is canceled, big tech capex will still exceed US$1 trillion next year, and the AI revolution "will only slow down, not cancel Christmas." Both sides actually share the same set of facts; the divergence lies in weighting: the bears believe that before leadership uncertainty is resolved, no valuation discount is sufficient; the bulls believe that a forward P/E below 10x has already priced in the worst-case scenario, and what remains is only a matter of time. Therefore, when NVIDIA Corporation's forward P/E ratio recoversand whether the precondition for recovery is clarity on the leadership question or earnings continuing to beat expectationsmay become the most sensitive barometer for the direction of AI trading in the coming weeks.