Hong Kong property: Hong Kong property prices are expected to rise by about 10% to 15% in 2026.
Looking ahead to 2026, the real estate market outlook is optimistic. If interest rates and policy environment continue to favor the real estate market, it is believed that the trend of both volume and price rising together can continue. Property prices are expected to rise by about 10% to 15% again, and the upward trend in profit margins for this year is expected to continue.
According to the comprehensive data from the Land Registry Department of Hong Kong Property Research Department, based on the registered cases of second-hand private residential properties with known initial purchase prices, and after deducting known internal transfers, special transactions, etc., the profit rate recorded in the accounts in December last year was about 65.9%, an increase of about 1 percentage point compared to the previous month, marking the fifth consecutive month of increase and reaching a 10-month high. Given that the time from signing the sales contract to submission for registration with the Land Registry Department usually reflects the market conditions in November of the previous year.
Looking forward to 2026, the outlook for the property market is optimistic. If interest rates and policy environments continue to favor the property market, it is believed that the trend of rising prices and volumes will continue, with property prices expected to rise by about 10% to 15%, and the upward trend in profit rates is expected to continue this year.
The profit rate recorded in the accounts for the top ten estates with known initial purchase prices of second-hand private residential properties last year was about 81.9%, about 16 percentage points higher than the overall market profit rate.
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