Federal Reserve's Barkin warns: As U.S. debt continues to rise, it will eventually face "liquidation."
Federal Reserve official Barkin stated that the increasing U.S. debt will ultimately lead to a reckoning.
Richmond Fed President Barkin stated that if U.S. debt continues to rise, a "clearing" will eventually occur, but it is difficult to know when that will happen. When asked about the total U.S. public debt exceeding $40 trillion, Barkin remarked that as long as the public continues to buy Treasury bonds, the government can continue to borrow. However, he added that investors may begin to push back against borrowing, which poses a certain risk.
"Over time, this will eventually be cleared. But no one can tell you when it will be cleared," Barkin said on Tuesday at an event in Charlotte, North Carolina. "We have a global currency and the rule of lawthese are the reasons people continue to buy bonds. But, you know, there will come a day when people stop buying your bonds, and that is the risk that exists."
Barkin reiterated comments he made earlier this month, where he argued for keeping interest rates stable given the evidence that inflation is declining, while also acknowledging that if price pressures persist, officials may have to raise rates.
The Fed's fifth meeting in July maintained interest rates unchanged, although three officials voted against, favoring a 25 basis point increase. Barkin, who does not have a vote this year, stated that it is challenging to gauge the extent of interest rates' impact on the economy.
After the event, Barkin told reporters that the July rate decision "got lucky." He explained that one reason for delaying an adjustment to interest rates was that officials would have two months of economic data before the next policy meeting on September 15-16.
"So far, we have received a full set of data, and we will next receive another full set of data to see what we can learn from it," Barkin said.
Policymakers from around the globe will gather later this week in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, for the annual economic symposium hosted by the Kansas City Fed. Fed Chair Kevin Walsh is set to speak on Friday. He faces pressure to respond to criticisms that he has not been candid enough about his economic outlook.
Barkin noted that the latest trade dispute with Canada has intensified uncertainty about how tariffs will affect prices and the economy. "I don't think the situation with Canada itself will have any significant impact on the U.S. position, but I think the bigger question is whether we roughly know what the tariff rates will ultimately beon that, I haven't received any signals yet," he said.
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